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Play Likely Fed Policy Shifts With These New ETFsAfter raising it to the level of 5.50%, the Federal Reserve is expected to slash interest rates at some points this year.Zacks Investment Research · Mar 21, 2024

5 ETFs To Watch As 10-Year Treasury Approaches 5% Yield, Analysts Say It's Now A 'Buy'The yields on 10-year Treasury bonds surged to 4.98% in early morning trading on Thursday, reaching their highest level since mid-July 2007. As yields approached the significant 5% milestone, Wall Street reacted. In a note shared on Thursday, Vishal Khanduja, managing director and portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, expressed the view that a 5% yield on 10-year US Treasuries presents an attractive buying opportunity for investors. According to Khanduja, it’s an excellent chance to extend the duration of a portfolio. Goldman Sachs analysts, including Arun Prakash, CFA, and John Marshall, believe that 10-year Treasuries have underperformed their usual relationship with macro assets and expect them to revert to the mean in the coming months. They anticipate that yields on 10-year Treasuries could decrease to around 4.2%-4.3%, indicating that call options on the iShares 7-10 Year Treasury ETF (NYSE:IEF) may present an appealing opportunity for investors to protect against the risk of lower yields. Chart: Treasury Yields Rose To The Highest Level In More Than 17 YearsBenzinga · Oct 19, 2023

Economists See Recession Risk Waning, End Of Fed Rate Hikes: How Could Treasury ETFs React To Yields?Economists are increasingly upbeat about the U.S. economy, with a growing consensus that the country is headed for what is known as a soft landing. In the latest quarterly survey conducted by The Wall Street Journal, 65 economists have collectively lowered their recession probability forecast for the next year. Previously standing at an average of 54% in July, this figure has now taken a significant dip to a more encouraging 48%, falling below the 50% mark for the first time since the middle of the previous year. This figure is relatively more optimistic than the New York Federal Reserve’s model, which still suggests a 56% chance of a recession due to the yield differential between ten-year and three-month Treasuries. Economists Change Tune Economic experts are increasingly of the opinion that the Federal Reserve has wrapped up its current cycle of interest rate hikes. After pushing short-term borrowing costs to a 22-year high of 5.25% to 5.5% in July, nearly 60% of surveyed economists believe that the Fed is ...Full story available on Benzinga.comBenzinga · Oct 16, 2023

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